The Cochrane Collaboration logo illustrates a systematic
review of data from seven randomized controlled trials (RCTs),
comparing one health care treatment with a placebo. Each horizontal
line represents the results of one trial (the shorter the line,
the more certain the result); and the diamond represents their
combined results. The vertical line indicates the position around
which the horizontal lines would cluster if the two treatments
compared in the trials had similar effects; if a horizontal line
touches the vertical line, it means that that particular trial
found no clear difference between the treatments. The position
of the diamond to the left of the vertical line indicates that
the treatment studied is beneficial. Horizontal lines or a diamond
to the right of the line would show that the treatment did more
harm than good.
This diagram shows the results of a systematic review
of RCTs of a short, inexpensive course of a corticosteroid given
to women about to give birth too early. The first of these RCTs
was reported in 1972. The diagram summarises the evidence that
would have been revealed had the available RCTs been reviewed
systematically a decade later: it indicates strongly that corticosteroids
reduce the risk of babies dying from the complications of immaturity.
By 1991, seven more trials had been reported, and the picture
had become still stronger. This treatment reduces the odds of
the babies of these women dying from the complications of immaturity
by 30 to 50 per cent.
Because no systematic review of these trials had
been published until 1989, most obstetricians had not realised
that the treatment was so effective. As a result, tens of thousands
of premature babies have probably suffered and died unnecessarily
(and needed more expensive treatment than was necessary). This
is just one of many examples of the human costs resulting from
failure to perform systematic, up-to-date reviews of RCTs of health
care.